risk management by Nick Navananti

[Jack Shrapnel]

such a good article.. the risk calculation backwards trick is so useful...I use this constantly... I can't count how many times someone has cursed their dice during a game when the exact result was statistically average. (check out the comments at the bottom regarding a brilliant point Nick makes about those "this unit does .74 wounds" guys)

thebrownmagic.com/2018/03/08/when-life-gives-you-lemons-play-better-part-1/

[Frosty the Pirate]

There's one thing I've learned about risk management, dice, and 40k.

The thing most likely to succeed. Won't. The thing least likely to fail. Will. So have a backup plan.

But by using the above technique, you'll at least know which of these things is which. =)

I really hope he writes an article on "Planning to succeed, playing to fail", it goes so closely in hand with the risk aspects of 40k dice math.